ASK THE EXPERTS: No. 1, part 2: Hostile Narratives Eroding Support for Ukraine

The International Republican Institute (IRI)’s Beacon Project is launching a new expert comments series. Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, the IRI’s Beacon Project has been analyzing online media data from several Central and Eastern European Countries to track key narratives that have the potential to erode support for Ukraine. This tracking and mapping of meta narratives in Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia is planned to continue through June 2023. More of our bi-weekly briefs can be
found here.

To begin we have asked an international team of analysts to share their expert opinion and estimations of hostile information activities and their countries internal vulnerabilities. In addition to the aforementioned countries, we include guest experts from Germany and Ireland. The second part of the inaugural report is focusing on the broader spectrum of other narratives, that may undermine the support for Ukraine, a well as new, potential information threats in CEE.

Please note this prognosis is based on the expert opinions of researchers from the region. This forecast has been prepared with support from IRI's Beacon Project. The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not reflect those of IRI.

2. Do you expect other narratives that have the potential to undermine support for Ukraine to gain prominence in your country throughout the rest of the year?
3. Do you anticipate the emergence of other information threats that
may weaken the resolve of your government, political parties, institutions, general public, CSOs, or private sector, in supporting Ukraine? (e.g., political or social shocks, economic crises, etc.

Read part 1 of the forecast here: ASK THE EXPERTS: No. 1: Hostile Narratives Eroding Support for Ukraine